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COVIX—An index allowing for the assessment of the pandemic situation based on infections and hospitalisation data.
Appl. Sci. 13:4554 (2023)
Monitoring and assessing the severity of the pandemic situation is one of the key challenges that public officials faced during the COVID-19 pandemic. Daily new infections may lead to flawed assessments, as infected individuals lead to different constraints imposed on the health care system amid varying pandemic determinants. On the other hand, hospitalisations or hospital bed occupancy may lead to outdated assessments, as the corresponding data are only observable with considerable delay. In this study, we introduce a hospital beds model, which relates the three quantities of daily new infections, daily hospitalisation rates, and daily hospital bed occupancy in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using this model, we develop COVIX—a severity index that assesses the impact of a pandemic in comparison to a specified reference date while taking infection and disease risks into account. The developed methodology and its implications are illustrated on data for the German federal state of Bavaria.
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Publikationstyp
Artikel: Journalartikel
Dokumenttyp
Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Schlagwörter
Covid-19 ; Hospitalisations ; Pandemic Assessment
ISSN (print) / ISBN
2076-3417
e-ISSN
2076-3417
Zeitschrift
Applied Sciences
Quellenangaben
Band: 13,
Heft: 7,
Artikelnummer: 4554
Verlag
MDPI
Verlagsort
Basel
Nichtpatentliteratur
Publikationen
Begutachtungsstatus
Peer reviewed
Institut(e)
Institute of Virology (VIRO)
Förderungen
Bavarian Ministry of Science via the FOR-COVID consortium