Background:
Multimorbidity, defined here as the co-occurrence of
cardiovascular disease (CVD), type 2 diabetes (T2D), and/or cancer is a
major public health challenge. However, its underlying biological
mechanisms remain unclear, limiting progress toward identifying shared
interventional targets.
Methods:
We applied large-scale plasma proteomics (SomaScan 7k; 7,289
aptamers) in 13,270 European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and
Nutrition (EPIC) participants to identify protein signatures of
multimorbidity. We modelled multimorbidity progression as sequential
disease transitions, i.e., from the disease-free state at baseline to a
first disease and from the first disease to a second disease. Using
weighted multivariable Cox regression, we estimated hazard ratios (HR)
and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for risk of cancer, CVD, and T2D. Risk
associations were replicated using Olink proteomics in UK Biobank (N =
44,567).
Results:
We identified 422 aptamers associated with more than one disease
(FDR-corrected P < 0.05), e.g., 265 aptamers were shared between CVD
and T2D. Thirty-eight aptamers were associated with multimorbidity
progression. Among these, 27 aptamers showed consistent positive
associations across sequential disease transitions, including SEMA6A
(disease-free to cancer HR: 1.14; 95% CI 1.05, 1.23; cancer to T2D HR:
2.61; 95% CI 1.76, 3.80). Four aptamers showed consistent inverse
associations, including NLGN1 (disease-free to T2D HR: 0.72; 95% CI
0.61, 0.84; T2D to cancer HR: 0.57; 95% CI 0.43, 0.75). Nineteen of the
identified proteins were also measured in UK Biobank, with broadly
consistent associations.
Conclusions:
This study identifies candidate proteins that may indicate
molecular pathways to multimorbidity of cardiometabolic diseases and
cancer. Future studies should evaluate the causal roles of these
proteins for targeted interventions and risk stratification.