Open Access Green möglich sobald Postprint bei der ZB eingereicht worden ist.
Validated inference of smoking habits from blood with a finite DNA methylation marker set.
Eur. J. Epidemiol. 34, 1055-1074 (2019)
Inferring a person's smoking habit and history from blood is relevant for complementing or replacing self-reports in epidemiological and public health research, and for forensic applications. However, a finite DNA methylation marker set and a validated statistical model based on a large dataset are not yet available. Employing 14 epigenome-wide association studies for marker discovery, and using data from six population-based cohorts (N = 3764) for model building, we identified 13 CpGs most suitable for inferring smoking versus non-smoking status from blood with a cumulative Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.901. Internal fivefold cross-validation yielded an average AUC of 0.897 +/- 0.137, while external model validation in an independent population-based cohort (N = 1608) achieved an AUC of 0.911. These 13 CpGs also provided accurate inference of current (average AUC(crossvalidation) 0.925 +/- 0.021, AUC(externalvalidation)0.914), former (0.766 +/- 0.023, 0.699) and never smoking (0.830 +/- 0.019, 0.781) status, allowed inferring pack-years in current smokers (10 pack-years 0.800 +/- 0.068, 0.796; 15 pack-years 0.767 +/- 0.102, 0.752) and inferring smoking cessation time in former smokers (5 years 0.774 +/- 0.024, 0.760; 10 years 0.766 +/- 0.033, 0.764; 15 years 0.767 +/- 0.020, 0.754). Model application to children revealed highly accurate inference of the true non- smoking status (6 years of age: accuracy 0.994, N = 355; 10 years: 0.994, N = 309), suggesting prenatal and passive smoking exposure having no impact on model applications in adults. The finite set of DNA methylation markers allow accurate inference of smoking habit, with comparable accuracy as plasma cotinine use, and smoking history from blood, which we envision becoming useful in epidemiology and public health research, and in medical and forensic applications.
Altmetric
Weitere Metriken?
Zusatzinfos bearbeiten
[➜Einloggen]
Publikationstyp
Artikel: Journalartikel
Dokumenttyp
Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Schlagwörter
Epigenetics ; Dna Methylation ; Smoking Inference ; Epidemiology ; Forensics; Epigenome-wide Association; Self-reported Smoking; Cigarette-smoking; Maternal Smoking; Tobacco-smoking; Exposure; Cotinine; Biomarker; Newborns; Hypomethylation
ISSN (print) / ISBN
0393-2990
e-ISSN
1573-7284
Zeitschrift
European Journal of Epidemiology
Quellenangaben
Band: 34,
Heft: 11,
Seiten: 1055-1074
Verlag
Springer
Verlagsort
Van Godewijckstraat 30, 3311 Gz Dordrecht, Netherlands
Nichtpatentliteratur
Publikationen
Begutachtungsstatus
Peer reviewed
Institut(e)
Institute of Epidemiology II (EPI2)