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Projections of cancer incidence and cancer-related deaths in Germany by 2020 and 2030.
Cancer Med. 5, 2649-2656 (2016)
Past patterns of cancer disease and future changes in the demographic structure have a major influence on the projected incidences of human malignancies. In Germany, nearly a quarter of men and 20% of women die of cancer, and it is estimated that in Germany around 51% men and 43% women will develop cancer during lifetime. Here, we project the cancer incidence case number as well as the number of deaths for the most common cancers in the German population for the years 2020 and 2030. By 2030, prostate cancer will be the most common malignancy, surpassing breast cancer. Lung cancer will rank third most frequent cancer and will remain the most common cause of cancer-related mortality. Additionally, our projections show a marked increase in liver cancer cases with a continuous rise in liver cancer-related deaths. Finally, we project a constant increase in the incidence of pancreatic cancer. Based on our projections, pancreatic cancer will surpass colorectal and breast cancer to rank as the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths in Germany by 2030.
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Times Cited
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2.915
0.660
83
138
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Publication type
Article: Journal article
Document type
Scientific Article
Keywords
Breast Cancer ; Cancer Deaths Projection ; Cancer Incidence Projection ; Colon Cancer ; Prostate Cancer; Pancreatic-cancer; United-states; Carcinoma; Future; Women; Liver
Language
german
Publication Year
2016
HGF-reported in Year
2016
ISSN (print) / ISBN
2045-7634
e-ISSN
2045-7634
Journal
Cancer Medicine
Quellenangaben
Volume: 5,
Issue: 9,
Pages: 2649-2656
Publisher
Wiley
Publishing Place
Hoboken, NJ
Reviewing status
Peer reviewed
Institute(s)
Institute of Genetic Epidemiology (IGE)
POF-Topic(s)
30501 - Systemic Analysis of Genetic and Environmental Factors that Impact Health
Research field(s)
Genetics and Epidemiology
PSP Element(s)
G-504100-001
PubMed ID
27356493
DOI
10.1002/cam4.767
WOS ID
WOS:000385355500051
Scopus ID
85006193537
Scopus ID
84991063336
Erfassungsdatum
2016-07-09