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A novel metabolic signature to predict the requirement of dialysis or renal transplantation in patients with chronic kidney disease.
J. Proteome Res. 18, 1796–1805 (2019)
Identification of chronic kidney disease patients at risk of progressing to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is essential for treatment decision-making and clinical trial design. Here, we explored whether proton nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy of blood plasma improves the currently best performing kidney failure risk equation, the so-called Tangri score. Our study cohort comprised 4640 participants from the German Chronic Kidney Disease (GCKD) study, of whom 185 (3.99%) progressed over a mean observation time of 3.70 +/- 0.88 years to ESRD requiring either dialysis or transplantation. The original four-variable Tangri risk equation yielded a C statistic of 0.863 (95% CI, 0.831-0.900). Upon inclusion of NMR features by state-of-the-art machine learning methods, the C statistic improved to 0.875 (95% CI, 0.850-0.911), thereby outperforming the Tangri score in 94 out of 100 subsampling rounds. Of the 24 NMR features included in the model, creatinine, high-density lipoprotein, valine, acetyl groups of glycoproteins, and Ca2+-EDTA carried the highest weights. In conclusion, proton NMR-based plasma fingerprinting improved markedly the detection of patients at risk of developing ESRD, thus enabling enhanced patient treatment.
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Publication type
Article: Journal article
Document type
Scientific Article
Keywords
Kidney Failure Risk Equation ; Metabolomics ; Chronic Kidney Disease; Risk-factors; Progression; Failure; Model; Ckd; Identification; Insufficiency; Spectroscopy; Association; Biomarkers
ISSN (print) / ISBN
1535-3893
e-ISSN
1535-3907
Journal
Journal of Proteome Research
Quellenangaben
Volume: 18,
Issue: 4,
Pages: 1796–1805
Publisher
American Chemical Society (ACS)
Publishing Place
1155 16th St, Nw, Washington, Dc 20036 Usa
Non-patent literature
Publications
Reviewing status
Peer reviewed
Institute(s)
Institute of Computational Biology (ICB)