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Chen, J.* ; Hoek, G.* ; de Hoogh, K.* ; Rodopoulou, S.* ; Andersen, Z.J.* ; Bellander, T.* ; Brandt, J.* ; Fecht, D.* ; Forastiere, F.* ; Gulliver, J.* ; Hertel, O.* ; Hoffmann, B.* ; Hvidtfeldt, U.A.* ; Verschuren, W.M.M.* ; Jöckel, K.H.* ; Jørgensen, J.T.* ; Katsouyanni, K.* ; Ketzel, M.* ; Méndez, D.Y.* ; Leander, K.* ; Liu, S.* ; Ljungman, P.* ; Faure, E.* ; Magnusson, P.K.E.* ; Nagel, G.* ; Pershagen, G.* ; Peters, A. ; Raaschou-Nielsen, O.* ; Rizzuto, D.* ; Samoli, E.* ; van der Schouw, Y.T.* ; Schramm, S.* ; Severi, G.* ; Stafoggia, M.* ; Strak, M.* ; Sørensen, M.* ; Tjønneland, A.* ; Weinmayr, G.* ; Wolf, K. ; Zitt, E.* ; Brunekreef, B.* ; Thurston, G.D.*

Long-term exposure to source-specific fine particles and mortality – a pooled analysis of 14 European cohorts within the ELAPSE project.

Environ. Sci. Technol. 56, 9277–9290 (2022)

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We assessed mortality risks associated with source-specific fine particles (PM_2.5) in a pooled European cohort of 323,782 participants. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to estimate mortality hazard ratios (HRs) for source-specific PM_2.5 identified through a source apportionment analysis. Exposure to 2010 annual average concentrations of source-specific PM_2.5 components was assessed at baseline residential addresses. The source apportionment resulted in the identification of five sources: traffic, residual oil combustion, soil, biomass and agriculture, and industry. In single-source analysis, all identified sources were significantly positively associated with increased natural mortality risks. In multisource analysis, associations with all sources attenuated but remained statistically significant with traffic, oil, and biomass and agriculture. The highest association per interquartile increase was observed for the traffic component (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.04 and 1.08 per 2.86 μg/m³ increase) across five identified sources. On a 1 μg/m³ basis, the residual oil-related PM_2.5 had the strongest association (HR: 1.13; 95% CI: 1.05 and 1.22), which was substantially higher than that for generic PM_2.5 mass, suggesting that past estimates using the generic PM_2.5 exposure response function have underestimated the potential clean air health benefits of reducing fossil-fuel combustion. Source-specific associations with cause-specific mortality were in general consistent with findings of natural mortality.

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Publication type Article: Journal article

Document type Scientific Article

Corresponding Author

Keywords Absolute Principal Component Analysis (apca) ; Fine Particulate Matter (pm2.5) ; Mortality ; Source Apportionment

ISSN (print) / ISBN 0013-936X

e-ISSN 1520-5851

Journal Environmental Science & Technology

Quellenangaben Volume: 56, Issue: 13, Pages: 9277–9290

Publisher ACS

Publishing Place Washington, DC

Non-patent literature Publications

Reviewing status Peer reviewed

Institute(s) Institute of Epidemiology II (EPI2)

Grants United States Environmental Protection Agency