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COVIX—An index allowing for the assessment of the pandemic situation based on infections and hospitalisation data.
Appl. Sci. 13:4554 (2023)
Monitoring and assessing the severity of the pandemic situation is one of the key challenges that public officials faced during the COVID-19 pandemic. Daily new infections may lead to flawed assessments, as infected individuals lead to different constraints imposed on the health care system amid varying pandemic determinants. On the other hand, hospitalisations or hospital bed occupancy may lead to outdated assessments, as the corresponding data are only observable with considerable delay. In this study, we introduce a hospital beds model, which relates the three quantities of daily new infections, daily hospitalisation rates, and daily hospital bed occupancy in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using this model, we develop COVIX—a severity index that assesses the impact of a pandemic in comparison to a specified reference date while taking infection and disease risks into account. The developed methodology and its implications are illustrated on data for the German federal state of Bavaria.
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Publication type
Article: Journal article
Document type
Scientific Article
Keywords
Covid-19 ; Hospitalisations ; Pandemic Assessment
ISSN (print) / ISBN
2076-3417
e-ISSN
2076-3417
Journal
Applied Sciences
Quellenangaben
Volume: 13,
Issue: 7,
Article Number: 4554
Publisher
MDPI
Publishing Place
Basel
Non-patent literature
Publications
Reviewing status
Peer reviewed
Institute(s)
Institute of Virology (VIRO)
Grants
Bavarian Ministry of Science via the FOR-COVID consortium