PuSH - Publication Server of Helmholtz Zentrum München

Export: TXT Text RIS Endnote (RIS) BIB BibTeX
Putra, I.G.N.E.* ; O'Flaherty, M.* ; Emmert-Fees, K.M.F.* ; Vasquez, M.S.* ; Evans, R.M.* ; Peters, A. ; Kypridemos, C.* ; Berger, N.* ; Robinson, E.B.* ; Colombet, Z.*

Estimating the health impact of menu calorie labelling policy and sugar-sweetened beverage taxation in two European countries: A microsimulation study.

Eur. J. Prev. Cardiol., DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf333 (2025)
Publ. Version/Full Text DOI PMC
Closed
Open Access Green as soon as Postprint is submitted to ZB.
AIMS: To estimate and compare the impacts of menu calorie labelling and sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) taxation on reducing obesity prevalence, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, and equity-related impacts, in Belgium and Germany. METHODS: We used microsimulation models over a 20-year simulation horizon (2022-2041). We modelled the impacts through assumed changes in energy intake due to consumer responses and food industry reformulation. Scenarios of partial (in "large" out-of-home businesses; ≥ 250 employees) and full (in all out-of-home businesses) implementation for menu calorie labelling and different tax rates for SSBs (10%, 20%, 30%) were simulated. RESULTS: Compared to the counterfactual scenario, assuming effects on both consumer and industry behaviour, menu calorie labelling applied to all out-of-home businesses was estimated to reduce obesity prevalence by 3·61 (95% uncertainty interval-UI: [2·78, 4·30]) and 4·28 (95% UI: [3·64, 5·06]) percentage points and prevent 1600 (95% UI: [400, 3800]) and 30000 (95% UI: [10000, 58000]) CVD deaths in Belgium and Germany over 20 years, respectively. The 30% SSB tax was estimated to reduce obesity prevalence by 0·27 (95% UI: [0·17, 0·43]) and 0·27 (95% UI: [0·17, 0·39]) percentage points and postpone 2500 (95% UI: [800, 5200]) and 16000 (95% UI: [7500, 28000]) CVD deaths in Belgium and Germany, respectively. In both countries, SSB taxation had a larger impact on CVD deaths for lower (vs. higher) education groups, whereas calorie labelling prevented more CVD deaths for higher (vs. lower) education groups. CONCLUSIONS: Menu calorie labelling and SSB taxation have substantial impacts on reducing obesity prevalence and preventing CVD deaths in Belgium and Germany. Implementing both policies will be important to tackle obesity and CVD burden.
Impact Factor
Scopus SNIP
Altmetric
7.500
0.000
Tags
Annotations
Special Publikation
Hide on homepage

Edit extra information
Edit own tags
Private
Edit own annotation
Private
Hide on publication lists
on hompage
Mark as special
publikation
Publication type Article: Journal article
Document type Scientific Article
Keywords Europe ; Food Policies ; Policy Evaluation ; Public Health Policies ; Simulation Modelling; Out-of-home; Energy
Language english
Publication Year 2025
HGF-reported in Year 2025
ISSN (print) / ISBN 2047-4873
e-ISSN 2047-4881
Journal European Journal of Preventive Cardiology
Publisher Sage
Publishing Place Great Clarendon St, Oxford Ox2 6dp, England
Reviewing status Peer reviewed
Institute(s) Institute of Epidemiology (EPI)
POF-Topic(s) 30202 - Environmental Health
Research field(s) Genetics and Epidemiology
PSP Element(s) G-504000-010
Grants National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Development and Skill Enhancement Award (DSE) - NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre (BRC)
European Research Council
DOI 10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf333
WOS ID 001523620100001
PubMed ID 40512810
Erfassungsdatum 2025-06-30
[➜Report correction]