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Breitner-Busch, S. ; Masselot, P.* ; Huber, V.* ; Gasparrini, A.* ; Schneider, A.E.

An estimation of future heat- and cold-associated mortality in the largest 15 cities in Germany.

Dtsch. Arztebl. Int. 122, 699-700 (2025)
DOI
The potential effects of climate change on public health have gained increasing importance in recent years, particularly with regard to temperature-associated mortality. While the number of cold-associated deaths in Europe is currently significantly higher than the number of heat-associated deaths (1), it remains unclear how this balance could shift in the future as temperatures continue to rise as a result ofclimate change. A study recently published in Nature Medicine (2) investigated the potential future effects of climate change on heat- and cold-associated mortality in 854 European cities, including 117 in Germany. While the primary focus of the study by Masselot et al. (2) was on the European perspective, our article focuses specifically on the results for Germany and, more particularly, on the 15 largest German cities. To this end, we examined various climatic, demographic, and adaptation scenarios in order to comprehensively assess potential health effects.
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Publication type Article: Journal article
Document type Case study
ISSN (print) / ISBN 1866-0452
e-ISSN 1866-0452
Journal Deutsches Ärzteblatt international
Quellenangaben Volume: 122, Issue: 25, Pages: 699-700 Article Number: , Supplement: ,
Publisher Dt. Ärzte-Verl.
Publishing Place Dieselstrabe 2, Postfach 400265, D-50859 Cologne, Germany
Reviewing status Peer reviewed
Institute(s) Institute of Epidemiology (EPI)