PuSH - Publikationsserver des Helmholtz Zentrums München

Export: TXT Text RIS Endnote (RIS) BIB BibTeX
Chen, K.* ; de Schrijver, E.* ; Sivaraj, S.* ; Sera, F.* ; Scovronick, N.* ; Jiang, L.* ; Royé, D.* ; Lavigne, E.* ; Kyselý, J.* ; Urban, A.* ; Schneider, A.E. ; Huber, V. ; Madureira, J.* ; Mistry, M.N.* ; Cvijanovic, I.* ; Gasparrini, A.* ; Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M.*

Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels.

Nat. Commun. 15:1796 (2024)
Verlagsversion DOI PMC
Open Access Gold
Creative Commons Lizenzvertrag
Older adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts are projected to increase with global warming, the influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of global warming, heat-related mortality in 800 locations across 50 countries/areas will increase by 0.5%, 1.0%, and 2.5%, respectively; among which 1 in 5 to 1 in 4 heat-related deaths can be attributed to population aging. Despite a projected decrease in cold-related mortality due to progressive warming alone, population aging will mostly counteract this trend, leading to a net increase in cold-related mortality by 0.1%-0.4% at 1.5-3 °C global warming. Our findings indicate that population aging constitutes a crucial driver for future heat- and cold-related deaths, with increasing mortality burden for both heat and cold due to the aging population.
Impact Factor
Scopus SNIP
Altmetric
14.700
0.000
Tags
Anmerkungen
Besondere Publikation
Auf Hompepage verbergern

Zusatzinfos bearbeiten
Eigene Tags bearbeiten
Privat
Eigene Anmerkung bearbeiten
Privat
Auf Publikationslisten für
Homepage nicht anzeigen
Als besondere Publikation
markieren
Publikationstyp Artikel: Journalartikel
Dokumenttyp Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Schlagwörter Climate-change; Projections; Heat; Cold
Sprache englisch
Veröffentlichungsjahr 2024
HGF-Berichtsjahr 2024
ISSN (print) / ISBN 2041-1723
e-ISSN 2041-1723
Zeitschrift Nature Communications
Quellenangaben Band: 15, Heft: 1, Seiten: , Artikelnummer: 1796 Supplement: ,
Verlag Nature Publishing Group
Verlagsort London
Begutachtungsstatus Peer reviewed
Institut(e) Institute of Epidemiology (EPI)
POF Topic(s) 30202 - Environmental Health
Forschungsfeld(er) Genetics and Epidemiology
PSP-Element(e) G-504000-001
Förderungen Swiss National Foundation
Earth System Grid Federation
European Union
Medical Research Council UK
Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnlogia Grant
Czech Science Foundation
Italian Ministry of University and Research (MUR), Department of Excellence project
European Commission
Yale Planetary Solutions Project seed grant
DOI 10.1038/s41467-024-45901-z
WOS ID 001178774300005
Scopus ID 85186221798
PubMed ID 38413648
Erfassungsdatum 2024-04-11
[➜Korrektur melden]