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Binz, M. ; Akata, E. ; Bethge, M.* ; Brändle, F.* ; Callaway, F.* ; Coda-Forno, J. ; Dayan, P.* ; Demircan, C. ; Eckstein, M.K.* ; Éltető, N.* ; Griffiths, T.L.* ; Haridi, S. ; Jagadish, A.K. ; Ji-An, L.* ; Kipnis, A. ; Kumar, S.* ; Ludwig, T.* ; Mathony. M. ; Mattar, M.* ; Modirshanechi, A. ; Nath, S.S.* ; Peterson, J.C.* ; Rmus, M. ; Russek, E.M.* ; Saanum, T. ; Schubert, J.A.* ; Schulze Buschoff, L.M. ; Singhi, N.* ; Sui, X.* ; Thalmann, M. ; Theis, F.J. ; Truong, V.* ; Udandarao, V.* ; Voudouris, K. ; Wilson, R.* ; Witte, K. ; Wu, S. ; Wulff, D.U.* ; Xiong, H.* ; Schulz, E.

A foundation model to predict and capture human cognition.

Nature, DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09215-4 (2025)
Publ. Version/Full Text Research data DOI PMC
Open Access Gold (Paid Option)
Creative Commons Lizenzvertrag
Establishing a unified theory of cognition has been an important goal in psychology1,2. A first step towards such a theory is to create a computational model that can predict human behaviour in a wide range of settings. Here we introduce Centaur, a computational model that can predict and simulate human behaviour in any experiment expressible in natural language. We derived Centaur by fine-tuning a state-of-the-art language model on a large-scale dataset called Psych-101. Psych-101 has an unprecedented scale, covering trial-by-trial data from more than 60,000 participants performing in excess of 10,000,000 choices in 160 experiments. Centaur not only captures the behaviour of held-out participants better than existing cognitive models, but it also generalizes to previously unseen cover stories, structural task modifications and entirely new domains. Furthermore, the model's internal representations become more aligned with human neural activity after fine-tuning. Taken together, our results demonstrate that it is possible to discover computational models that capture human behaviour across a wide range of domains. We believe that such models provide tremendous potential for guiding the development of cognitive theories, and we present a case study to demonstrate this.
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Publication type Article: Journal article
Document type Scientific Article
Corresponding Author
ISSN (print) / ISBN 0028-0836
e-ISSN 1476-4687
Journal Nature
Publisher Nature Publishing Group
Publishing Place London
Non-patent literature Publications
Reviewing status Peer reviewed
Institute(s) Institute of AI for Health (AIH)
Institute of Computational Biology (ICB)