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Asseng, S.* ; Martre, P.* ; Maiorano, A.* ; Rötter, R.P.* ; O'Leary, G.J.* ; Fitzgerald, G.J.* ; Girousse, C.* ; Motzo, R.* ; Giunta, F.* ; Babar, M.A.* ; Reynolds, M.P.* ; Kheir, A.M.S.* ; Thorburn, P.J.* ; Waha, K.* ; Ruane, A.C.* ; Aggarwal, P.K.* ; Ahmed, M.* ; Balkovič, J.* ; Basso, B.* ; Biernath, C.J. ; Bindi, M.* ; Cammarano, D.* ; Challinor, A.J.* ; De Sanctis, G.* ; Dumont, B.* ; Eyshi Rezaei, E.* ; Fereres, E.* ; Ferrise, R.* ; Garcia-Vila, M.* ; Gayler, S.* ; Gao, Y.* ; Horan, H.* ; Hoogenboom, G.* ; Izaurralde, R.C.* ; Jabloun, M.* ; Jones, C.D.* ; Kassie, B.T.* ; Kersebaum, K.C.* ; Klein, C. ; Koehler, A.-K.* ; Liu, B.* ; Minoli, S.* ; Montesino San Martin, M.* ; Müller, C.* ; Naresh Kumar, S.* ; Nendel, C.* ; Olesen, J.E.* ; Palosuo, T.* ; Porter, J.R.* ; Priesack, E. ; Ripoche, D.* ; Semenov, M.A.* ; Stöckle, C.* ; Stratonovitch, P.* ; Streck, T.* ; Supit, I.* ; Tao, F.* ; Van der Velde, M.* ; Wallach, D.* ; Wang, E.* ; Webber, H.* ; Wolf, J.* ; Xiao, L.* ; Zhang, Z.* ; Zhao, Z.* ; Zhu, Y.* ; Ewert, F.*

Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein.

Glob. Change Biol. 25, 155-173 (2019)
Postprint Research data DOI PMC
Open Access Green
Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32-multi-model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from rising temperature and changes in rainfall, but with considerable disparities between regions. Grain and protein yields are expected to be lower and more variable in most low-rainfall regions, with nitrogen availability limiting growth stimulus from elevated CO2. Introducing genotypes adapted to warmer temperatures (and also considering changes in CO2 and rainfall) could boost global wheat yield by 7% and protein yield by 2%, but grain protein concentration would be reduced by -1.1 percentage points, representing a relative change of -8.6%. Climate change adaptations that benefit grain yield are not always positive for grain quality, putting additional pressure on global wheat production.
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Publication type Article: Journal article
Document type Scientific Article
Keywords Climate Change Adaptation ; Climate Change Impact ; Food Security ; Grain Protein ; Wheat; Elevated Atmospheric Co2; Carbon-dioxide; Grain Protein; Crop Models; Yield; Enrichment; Quality; Productivity; Simulation; Senescence
Language
Publication Year 2019
Prepublished in Year 2018
HGF-reported in Year 2018
ISSN (print) / ISBN 1354-1013
e-ISSN 1365-2486
Journal Global Change Biology
Quellenangaben Volume: 25, Issue: 1, Pages: 155-173 Article Number: , Supplement: ,
Publisher Wiley
Publishing Place 111 River St, Hoboken 07030-5774, Nj Usa
Reviewing status Peer reviewed
Institute(s) Research Unit Environmental Simulation (EUS)
POF-Topic(s) 30202 - Environmental Health
Research field(s) Environmental Sciences
PSP Element(s) G-504912-001
DOI 10.1111/gcb.14481
WOS ID WOS:000453370700014
Scopus ID 85058560816
PubMed ID 30549200
Erfassungsdatum 2019-01-08
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