PuSH - Publication Server of Helmholtz Zentrum München: Large language models forecast patient health trajectories enabling digital twins.

Information

Clues to quality of journals

Open Access Policy of Helmholtz Association 2016

CC Licencences

Publication Metrics

Navigation

Home

Deutsch

Research

Advanced Search

Browse by ...

... HMGU-Authors/Consortia

... Organizational Structure

... Journal

... Publication Type

... Research Data

... Arbeitsgruppen

... Publication Year

Publication overview

Statistics

Statistics (last 5 years)

OA Publications

Publish

Submit Publication

Import publication from...

...EVA

Report missing publication

Highlights

Support & Contact

Contact persons

Help

Data protection

Helmholtz Open Science

JANE Journal Estimator

SHERPA/RoMEO

DOAJ

Export:

Text

Endnote (RIS) BIB

BibTeX

Makarov, N. ; Bordukova, M. ; Quengdaeng, P ; Garger, D. ; Rodriguez-Esteban, R.* ; Schmich, F.* ; Menden, M.P.

Large language models forecast patient health trajectories enabling digital twins.

NPJ Digit. Med. 8:588 (2025)

Publ. Version/Full Text

Research data

DOI

PMC

	Open Access Gold

Abstract
Metrics
Extra information

Generative artificial intelligence is revolutionizing digital twin development, enabling virtual patient representations that predict health trajectories, with large language models (LLMs) showcasing untapped clinical forecasting potential. We developed the Digital Twin-Generative Pretrained Transformer (DT-GPT), extending LLM-based forecasting solutions to clinical trajectory prediction. DT-GPT leverages electronic health records without requiring data imputation or normalization and overcomes real-world data challenges such as missingness, noise, and limited sample sizes. Benchmarking on non-small cell lung cancer, intensive care unit, and Alzheimer's disease datasets, DT-GPT outperformed state-of-the-art machine learning models, reducing the scaled mean absolute error by 3.4%, 1.3% and 1.8%, respectively. It maintained distributions and cross-correlations of clinical variables, and demonstrated explainability through a human-interpretable interface. Additionally, DT-GPT's ability to perform zero-shot forecasting highlights potential advantages of LLMs as clinical forecasting platforms, proposing a path towards digital twin applications in clinical trials, treatment selection, and adverse event mitigation.

Impact Factor

Scopus SNIP

Altmetric

15.100

0.000